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economist intelligence unit

According to the British research organization Economist Intelligence Unit, Donald Trump winning the US presidency is considered one of the top 10 risks facing the world.

The EIU warns Donald Trump could disrupt the global economy and heighten political and security risks in the US.

However, it does not expect Donald Trump to defeat Hillary Clinton who it sees as “his most likely Democratic contender”.

Donald Trump is rated as riskier than Britain leaving the European Union or an armed clash in the South China Sea.

China encountering a “hard landing” or sharp economic slowdown and Russia’s interventions in Ukraine and Syria preceding a new “cold war” are among the events seen as more dangerous.

Photo Getty Images

Photo Getty Images

“Thus far Mr. Trump has given very few details of his policies – and these tend to be prone to constant revision,” the EIU said in its global risk assessment, which looks at impact and probability.

The EIU ranking uses a scale of one to 25, with Donald Trump garnering a rating of 12, the same level of risk as “the rising threat of jihadi terrorism destabilizing the global economy”.

“He has been exceptionally hostile towards free trade, including notably Nafta, and has repeatedly labeled China as a <<currency manipulator>>,” the EIU said.

It warned his strong language directed towards Mexico and China in particular “could escalate rapidly into a trade war”.

Donald Trump has called for a “big big wall” to be built on the US-Mexican border, paid for by Mexico, to keep its illegal immigrants and drug dealers out of the United States.

On the campaign trail, Donald Trump has advocated killing the families of terrorists and invading Syria to eradicate ISIS and appropriate its oil.

“His militaristic tendencies towards the Middle East and ban on all Muslim travel to the US would be a potent recruitment tool for jihadi groups, increasing their threat both within the region and beyond,” the EIU added.

Critics of Donald Trump have raised similar concerns.

However, Donald Trump is moving closer to clinching the Republican presidential nominee ticket after winning most of the popular vote.

Donald Trump, who has no prior political experience, has said his supporters would “riot” if he was denied the nomination.

In the event Donald Trump does win the nomination and presidency, the EIU forecasts that domestic and foreign policymaking will be undermined.


According to a new study produced by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), Switzerland is the best place to be born in the world in 2013, and the U.S. is just 16th.

The study says American babies will have a dimmer future than those born in Hong Kong, Ireland and even Canada.

The EIU, a sister company of The Economist, attempted to measure how well countries will provide the best opportunities for a healthy, safe and prosperous life in years to come.

People born in Switzerland will tend to be the happiest and have the best quality of life judged in terms of wealth, health and trust in public institutions, according to the analysis.

The Scandinavian countries of Norway, Sweden and Denmark also all make the top five in a “quality-of-life” index highlighting where it is best to be born next year.

In 1988, the U.S. came top of a rank of 50 countries, though has not achieved the top spot since.

The index links the results of subjective life-satisfaction surveys – how happy people say they are – to objective determinants of quality of life across countries.

One of the most important factors is being rich, but other factors come into play – including crime, trust in public institutions and the health of family life.

In total, the index takes into account 11 indicators.

According to EIU study, Switzerland is the best place to be born in the world in 2013, and the US is just 16th

According to EIU study, Switzerland is the best place to be born in the world in 2013, and the US is just 16th

These include fixed factors such as geography, others that change slowly over time such as demography, social and cultural characteristics, and the state of the world economy.

The index also looks at income per head in 2030, which is roughly when children born in 2013 will reach adulthood.

Small economies dominate the top 10 countries, with Australia coming second and New Zealand and the Netherlands not too far behind.

Half of the top 10 countries are European, but only one, the Netherlands, is from the euro-zone.

The crisis-ridden south of Europe, including Greece, Portugal and Spain, lags behind despite the advantage of a favorable climate.

Interestingly, the largest European economies – Germany, France and Britain – do not do particularly well.

Nigeria has the unenviable title of being the worst country for a baby to enter the world in 2013.

Despite their economic dynamism, none of the BRIC countries – Brazil, Russia, India and China – score impressively.

Brazil ranked 37, China came in 49th and India was 66th and Russia came in 72nd out of 80 countries listed in the index.