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Wednesday, March 26, 2025

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Dow Jones hits new record high returning to levels seen before financial crisis

Dow Jones share index set a new all-time high on Tuesday, returning to levels not seen since before the global financial crisis.

The Wall Street index reached 14,273 in lunchtime trading, exceeding the previous record intra-day high of 14,198, set in October 2007.

The recovery in the market suggests investors are regaining confidence in the US economy.

That is despite the ongoing fiscal crisis in Washington.

Dow Jones index has more than doubled in value since it plummeted to less than 6,550 points in the depth of the crisis in March 2009.

Investors were encouraged by data released on Tuesday suggesting the US’s non-manufacturing industries, which account for about 90% of the economy, continued to expand last month.

The Institute for Supply Management said its services index rose to 56 in February from 55.2 in January – its highest level in a year.

More broadly investors have been encouraged by signs of recovery in the US housing market in recent months, and a return of consumer confidence.

“Key data is turning supportive. Companies are ready to re-invest and grow profitably. With luck, we will see a recovery take hold in the second half of the year,” said Paul Atkinson, head of North American equities at Aberdeen Asset Management.

“The question now is whether we are seeing a stealth rally in danger of running its course… or whether we have the conditions for further market gains.”

Other US indexes have also rallied in recent months.

The S&P 500 index – a broader index of US shares that is closely watched in the market – has risen by 125% since 2009, reaching 1,538 on Tuesday, but remains some way short of its pre-crisis high of 1,576.

By comparison the FTSE 100 index in London has risen by 68% from its 2009 low, but is some way off its all-time high, set in late 1999.

Dow Jones share index set a new all-time high on Tuesday, returning to levels not seen since before the global financial crisis
Dow Jones share index set a new all-time high on Tuesday, returning to levels not seen since before the global financial crisis

US consumer confidence rebounded unexpectedly in February, while data suggesting strong sales of new homes has been particularly encouraging, as housing construction has typically played a leading role in past US recoveries.

There are also signs big businesses are beginning to invest in capital spending rather than build up their cash piles, and are hiring more staff.

Analysts also say the commitment of central banks to quantitative easing (QE) and low interest rates has helped create optimism among investors, and made stocks and shares more attractive than bonds.

On Monday the vice chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen, said the central bank should press on with its QE programme, in which it spends $85 billion a month on buying bonds.

Its actions have outweighed concerns over the continued US fiscal crisis in Washington, where President Barack Obama has warned that “sequester” budget cuts will harm the economy.

Some investors also warn that the US recovery remains sluggish. The economy grew at an annualized rate of just 0.1% in the last three months of 2012, data published last week showed.

Dow Jones also only partially reflects the US economy, as it is made up of only 30 companies.

“What happens when this [QE programme] kind of evaporates or goes away, that’s the major question in the back of my mind,” said Anthony Conroy, head trader at brokerage BNY Convergex.

“But right now, the economy, the market, everything looks fairly healthy. Stocks still look fairly inexpensive.”

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Clyde K. Valle
Clyde K. Valle
Clyde is a business graduate interested in writing about latest news in politics and business. He enjoys writing and is about to publish his first book. He’s a pet lover and likes to spend time with family. When the time allows he likes to go fishing waiting for the muse to come.

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